by WorldTribune Staff / 247 Real News November 6, 2022
A pollster who correctly predicted Donald Trump’s victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016 is saying that Americans are prepping to unleash a “red tsunami” in Tuesday’s midterm elections.
Patrick Basham, the polling director at the Democracy Institute, predicted that Republicans will win control of the House and Senate.
The Democracy Institute’s poll of 1,500 “likely voters” predicts the GOP will gain a minimum of 33 to 38 seats in the House, with a “probable gain” of 39 to 51 seats.
At the lowest point, this outcome would give Republicans 245 seats with a majority of 55. At the top end, the GOP could have 265 seats with a majority of 95.
Democrats currently hold a majority with 220 to 212 seats and three vacancies.
The poll does not bode well for Democrats in the Senate either. Democrats have put up a veneer of optimism, hoping to maintain the current 50/50 status quo, giving Kamala Harris the tie-breaking vote.
The Democracy Institute poll suggests that likely voters favor Republicans by 49% to 46%.
This outcome would give Republicans up to 54 seats in the Senate, with Democrats dropping to 46.
In 2016, Basham’s Democracy Institute had said: “The new poll finds Trump establishing a clear lead over Clinton, 50 percent to 45 percent, among decided voters. The outcome nevertheless remains in doubt, as an unusually large number of undecided voters (10 percent) could yet swing the election Clinton’s way, although their eventual, disproportionate support for Trump is the more probable development.”
BREAKING: Patrick Basham, the pollster who correctly predicted Brexit and Trump 2016 says midterm “Red Wave” is forming into a full-on “Red Tsunami.” pic.twitter.com/m6D5RHL8re
— Election Wizard 🇺🇸 (@ElectionWiz) November 5, 2022