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    Thursday, July 10, 2008

    U.S. sees ground ops in Iraq ending by mid-2009

    WASHINGTON — The U.S. military envisions the end of its ground operations in Iraq in 2009.

    Officials said the U.S. military has projected that the Iraq Army would be ready to assume all ground operations by mid-2009. They said this would enable a significant withdrawal of American troops from Iraq and limit the U.S. military's role to training and guidance, Middle East Newsline reported.

    "The ground forces will mostly be done by the middle of next year," U.S. Army Lt. Gen. James Dubik said.

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    Dubik, who just completed his tour of duty as the U.S. officer responsible for training the Iraqi security forces, said the Iraqi military and police were progressing toward their goal of autonomous operations. In testimony to the House Armed Services Committee on Wednesday, Dubik, citing operational successes in Amara, Baghdad and Basra, said the Iraqi security forces have been rapidly expanding, but still require experienced commanders.

    "Our assistance may change in organization and size over the coming months or years, but some form of partnership and assistance, consistent with strategic objectives, is still necessary," Dubik said. "The Iraqis know this; we should remember it too."

    In July, the last of the five U.S. military surge brigades — the army's 3rd Infantry Division's 2nd Brigade Combat Team — was scheduled to return home. Officials said the military canceled the assignment of more than 300 U.S. troops to Iraq amid the improvement in the country's security situation.

    "Our efforts in conjunction with the efforts of the Iraqi security forces have been significant in reducing the number of attacks throughout the country," U.S. Lt. Gen. Lloyd Austin, commander of Multinational Corps-Iraq, said. "[Iraqi security forces] have collected up a number of caches, and they've also conducted operations in Basra and Amara. And as we watch that unfold, we see them take out a tremendous amount of lethal accelerants off the battlefield."

    For his part, Dubik urged Congress to revise laws and regulations in an effort to accelerate the equipping of the Iraqi security forces. He said Iraq has ordered $2.7 billion in military equipment, but received just $1.4 billion.

    "This accelerated delivery has made important positive contributions to the Iraqi security forces' capability," Dubik said.

    [On Wednesday, the United States transferred 11 aircraft to the Iraq Air Force. Officials said the U.S.-origin Cessnas, worth more than $9 million, would be used to train Iraqi pilots.]

    Over the last year, the Iraqi security forces have grown by more than 25 percent — from 444,000 to 566,000. Many Iraqi units have been certified Level 1, or having the ability to conduct operations with minimal U.S. help. But the general was careful against specifying when Iraqi security forces would assume full responsibility.

    "I would not put an X on the calendar, Mr. chairman," Dubik told House Armed Services Committee chairman Rep. Ike Skelton said.

    But Dubik, replaced in early July by Army Lt. Gen. Frank Helmick, said a key challenge was the inability of the Iraqi military to train its recruits. He also cited a shortage of experienced junior- and mid-level Iraqi officers.

    "From my standpoint, we should not underestimate the difficulty of the task remaining," Dubik said. "The successes of the past year-plus are significant, are dramatic, but can be reversed, and they can be stymied."

    Officials said the U.S. military envisioned the start of Iraqi assumption of full security responsibility around 2009 in a process that would conclude three years later. The military expected Iraq to require another decade of assistance before it could defend against an external enemy.

    "As I often said to my command in Baghdad, 'Progress doesn't result in no problems, it results in new problems,'" Dubik said.



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