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Thursday, August 12, 2010     GET REAL

Centcom: Dual insurgencies could break back
of Yemen's military

WASHINGTON — The U.S. military has warned that Yemen's security forces could collapse amid fighting two major insurgencies.

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U.S. Central Command has asserted that the regime of President Ali Abdullah Saleh was struggling to contain the revolt by Shi'ites in the north and Al Qaida in the south. Centcom assessed that the weight of these insurgencies were endangering Yemen's military and security forces.

"While President Saleh is able to manage these threats sequentially, a combination of spikes in the challenges listed above could stretch Sanaa's resources and military/security services to the breaking point," Centcom chief Gen. James Mattis said.


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In testimony to the Senate Armed Services Committee, Mattis painted a dark picture of Yemen. The general, who has worked with Yemen's military, said the Saleh regime was threatened by revolts, a failing economy, poor security and dwindling crude oil reserves, Middle East Newsline reported.

"Six years of intermittent conflict in northwest Yemen between the Yemeni government and Houthi [Shi'ite] rebels threatens stability," Mattis said during his confirmation hearing in July 2010.

The Centcom assessment said Saleh's authority has begun to wane. Mattis cited the resurgence of Al Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula as well as the Iranian-backed Believing Youth movement. Washington has allocated more than $150 million in military and security aid to Sanaa for fiscal 2010, which ends in October.

In his testimony, Mattis said Yemen would require additional U.S. military aid. He stressed that such aid must be accompanied by civilian assistance meant to improve Yemeni government services.

"We must work with Yemen to not only build military and intelligence capacity, but we must also encourage, and where possible, provide development, humanitarian and technical assistance," Mattis said. "A long-term whole of government commitment to Yemen and its people, especially activities that assist Yemen in providing good governance and services to its people, will be most effective in bolstering government capacity, increasing stability and denying havens to extremists."



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