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Wednesday, July 28, 2010     INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING

Incoming Centcom chief Gen. Mattis: 'The Iraqis still need our help'

WASHINGTON — The U.S. military has assessed that security achievements in Iraq could quickly dissipate.

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Officials said Central Command has determined that the security situation in Iraq remains fragile despite the sharp decline in insurgency attacks. They said the political vacuum in Baghdad as well as the failure to resolve ethnic tensions could result in a breakdown in law and order.

"Although great progress has been made in Iraq, it is not yet enduring, primarily because many underlying sources of political instability have yet to be resolved," Gen James Mattis, nominated as Central Command chief, said.


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In testimony to the Senate Armed Services Committee on July 27, Mattis provided a sober assessment of Iraq's capabilities and prospects, Middle East Newsline reported. A Marine Corps officer, Mattis said he envisioned Iraq's need for U.S. help for years to come, but stressed this would not stop the accelerated American military withdrawal from the country. During the general's testimony, Adm. Michael Mullen, the chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, began a visit to Baghdad to examine pullout plans.

"The Iraqis still need our help as they continue to build their capabilities in order to protect against malign external influences seeking to foment ethno-sectarian violence and distrust," Mattis said.

The assessment was the latest in warnings by President Barack Obama and senior military commanders of the continuing political crisis in Baghdad. Since the elections in March 2010, Prime Minister Nouri Al Maliki and his challenger, Iyad Alawi, have failed in efforts to form a government coalition amid a resurgence of mass-casualty suicide strikes by Al Qaida. Iraq has also delayed the convening of its new parliament.

The general said Arab-Kurdish tension, particularly around the oil capital of Kirkuk, remains a significant challenge for Iraq. Mattis urged that the borders of the autonomous Kurdish region in northern Iraq be delineated.

Iraq's military and security forces, which number more than 660,000, were said to have been performing well, Mattis said. But he said neighboring Iran has foiled efforts by the Baghdad government to defeat Shi'ite militias backed by Teheran.

"The Iraqi government has worked to manage the challenges presented by Sunni and Shia militia groups through a combination of security operations and engagement policies such as integrating the Sons of Iraq, and reconciliation initiatives with Muqtada Al Sadr's Jaysh Al Mahdi militia," Mattis said. "However, some terrorist groups are more difficult for the Iraqi government to target because of their covert nature and backing by Iran."



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