In his March 30 address, Yadlin said Jordan, despite political tension,
continues to be committed to the peace treaty with Israel, Middle East Newsline reported. He said Israel's
border with Jordan, the longest of the Jewish state, marked the most
important frontier. In 1994, the two nations signed a peace treaty that
included extensive border security arrangements.
"We do enjoy peace with Jordan — once again, not the 100 percent kind
of peace that we want, but one that is quite stable and with a lot of
benefits for both sides," Yadlin said. "Israel's longest border is with
Jordan. And I cannot see something that will change the security needs of
Israel more than having this long border behave in the way that the Gaza
Strip border is behaving."
In 2011, the Hashemite kingdom, which contains a Palestinian majority,
has come under the greatest threat in decades. The Islamic opposition,
backed by Al Qaida supporters, has been organizing large demonstrations that
called for democratic reform, including the reduction in the authority of
One scenario raised by Yadlin was that political elements in Jordan or
other Arab countries threatened with unrest would seek to divert attention
toward Israel. The retired general said Israel was "very pleased" that
neither the opposition nor the regime of President Hosni Mubarak blamed the
Jewish state for unrest in Egypt in February.
"We have to be aware of the tendency to export the problem to Israel,"
Yadlin said. "This was the way Arab dictators behaved for many, many years."
The former MI chief said Israel must take into account the prospect of
Arab regime change in any peace negotiations. Yadlin said Israel's strategy
must ensure sufficient defense should a peaceful Arab neighbor suddenly
"If we reach the negotiating table and we are to discuss security
arrangements, the events that we are seeing now should be taken into
consideration," Yadlin said. "A change of regime, a change of political
balance, should be a possibility that the future defense arrangement of
Israel should be taking into consideration."
Yadlin said Iran and its proxies might decide to divert the Arab
revolution toward Israel. He pointed to the sharp rise in anti-regime
demonstrations in Syria, the leading ally of Iran and safe haven for Hamas,
Hizbullah and Islamic Jihad.
"Hizbullah, Hamas, Syria, and Iran may decide that this is the time to
divert attention to Israel," Yadlin said. "If chaos is in Syria, and the
missiles and the chemical weapons have gone to some faction or terrorist,
it's become a serious issue that we have to look at."