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Friday, July 8, 2011     INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING

As S. Sudan prepares to secede, northern army seen gearing up for offensive

CAIRO — The northern army of President Omar Bashir is preparing for what appears to be a massive campaign in southern Sudan.


U.S.-based monitoring groups have released satellite photographs that show a buildup by the Sudanese Army in the south, scheduled to formally secede on July 9. The Satellite Sentinel Project and Enough Project said the photographs disclosed a northern army convoy that stretched more than two kilometers and contains at least 1,000 troops in the Southern Kordofan oil state, Middle East Newsline reported.

"The Sudanese regime appears to be ignoring its commitment, holding to form, and positioning military assets for intensified offensive operations," Enough Project cofounder John Prendergast said on July 6.

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The satellite images were taken on July 4 and showed a northern infantry unit in Southern Kordofan's capital city of Kadugli. The images showed Sudanese Army combat vehicles, combat helicopters and artillery moving into the south.

"The apparent convoy is pointed north, although its origin, destination and total length remain unknown," Satellite Sentinel said.

Western diplomats as well as human rights groups have assessed that Bashir was planning a military campaign to capture much of Southern Kordofan as well as other oil-rich areas claimed by the south. In May, northern troops captured the energy-rich region of Abyei, which was to have undergone a United Nations-led referendum for secession in January.

The UN has acknowledged that more than 73,000 civilians fled Southern Kordofan since fighting intensified more than a month ago. Another 150,000 were said to have abandoned their homes in Abyei since the northern army invasion.

Sudan has been producing about 500,000 barrels of oil per day. Under secession, Khartoum could lose about 75 percent of the output to Southern Sudan.


Compared to atrocities in the Sudan, the events in Libya, Egypt and Syria are trivial. Sudan is a saga of horrible savagery by the Arab north against the black south. Where is the international outrage? Where is the humanitarian outcry? Where is the UN?Where is NATO? Where is Al Sharpton? Where is the NAACP? Where is Obama? Apparently, when Arabs kill hundreds of thousands of blacks that isn't racism, or genocide, or apartheid. The least that those who profess to have a love for their fellow man can do is pray for the people in Sudan. Or, as was the case with the Holocaust, they can wait until the horrible deeds have been done, and then condemn them.

Syd Chaden      12:23 p.m. / Monday, July 11, 2011

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