Gaffney, a former Defense Department official, said Obama plans to
increase pressure on Israel to unprecedented levels after his party's historic defeat in congressional
elections. He said the president had eased pressure on Israel in response to
Democrat candidates who feared a Jewish backlash.
"Unfortunately, what the president has in mind for Israel after the
election will make his previous treatment of the Jewish state look
like the good old days," the report, titled "Obama's Not-so-hidden Agenda,"
said on Oct. 26.
The report echoed previous assessments by the Israeli government and
intelligence community of a crisis with the United States in the aftermath
of the U.S. elections. The Israeli assessment envisioned that Obama would
accelerate efforts to establish a Palestinian state in the West Bank
regardless of Israeli concerns.
"Worse yet, he will be able to take advantage of a vehicle for effecting
the so-called 'two state solution,' no matter how strenuously Israel and its
friends in Washington object," the report said. "The Palestinians will
simply unilaterally declare themselves a state and ask for international
recognition — and Mr. Obama will accede to that request."
During the spring of 2010, U.S.-Israel relations were said to have
dropped to one of their lowest points in more than 50 years. Gaffney said
Obama vilified Israel and forced it into territorial, political and other
concessions to the Arabs.
"To be sure, ties between the United States and Israel — far and away
America's most important and loyal friend in the Middle East — have
improved lately from the nadir to which Mr. Obama plunged them since he took
office," the report said. "That has nothing to do, however, with a change of
heart or agenda on the part of the president and his administration."
Gaffney said Obama could provide U.S. recognition to any unilateral
declaration of Palestinian independence. Another option was that the
president abstain from a resolution in the United Nations Security Council
that would recognize a Palestinian state.
"The truth is that, either way, Mr. Obama will have dealt Israel a
potentially mortal blow," the report said. "Without control of the high
ground and water aquifers of the West Bank, the Jewish state is simply
indefensible and unsustainable."
The report said Obama could also agree to deploy U.S. forces in the West
Bank in wake of a declaration of Palestinian independence. Gaffney warned
that international forces, including Americans, would soon protect Israel's
enemies in a policy similar to that of the UN peacekeeping mission in
"The same is certain to eventuate in the West Bank as paramilitary
forces the United States has foolishly trained and equipped become a
standing army and fall under the sway of Hamas," the report said.