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Monday, June 28, 2010     INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING

NATO report: Focus on Iran and missile defense, have 'strategic patience' on peace plans

LONDON — A NATO report concluded that its programs in the Middle East have achieved little since 1994. The report cited the Istanbul Cooperation Initiative and the Mediterranean Dialogue, which include Gulf, Levant and North African states.

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The report urged NATO to demonstrate "strategic patience" with the Middle East and focus on the threat from Iran, Middle East Newsline reported. The authors said the alliance should seek to reach an agreement based on "new and broader concepts of security, taking into account conventional and unconventional dangers, as well as political, economic, social and cultural issues."

"The allies should be open to transparent consultations with its MD and ICI partners on the implications of a possible nuclear breakout by Iran," the report said.


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Another recommendation was that NATO should form panels on issues or regions. One agreement should be with the GCC and focus on missile defense.

"NATO should recognize territorial missile defence as an essential mission of the alliance," the report said. "To that end, NATO should agree to expand its Active Layered Theatre Ballistic Missile Defence System to provide the core command and control capability of a NATO territorial missile defence system."

"The dialogue provides a framework for confidence building, transparency and cooperation," the 55-page report said. "Although it is the only functioning region-wide security initiative, its accomplishments to date are modest."

The report asserted that NATO's success in the Middle East remained marginal despite the importance of the region. The Middle East has been regarded as vital in such areas as weapons proliferation and missile defense.

"The present MD [Mediterranean Dialogue] formula remains workable, but should be flexible enough to allow any country that desires to deepen its partnership with NATO to do so," the report said.

The report cited the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the resolution of which has been led by the United States. The authors recommended that NATO should be ready to help implement any peace accord.

"NATO is strongly supportive of efforts to negotiate a just and lasting peace between Israelis and Palestinians, but does not play an active diplomatic role," the report said. "The alliance has, however, expressed a willingness to assist in implementing an agreement should one be reached, provided that is requested by the parties and authorized by the UN Security Council."

The Istanbul Cooperation Initiative, launched in 2004, has recruited several Gulf Cooperation Council states, including Bahrain, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates. The report said the initiative has fallen short of expectations in efforts to battle WMD and Al Qaida.

"Although potentially valuable, the ICI has been held back by a lack of common strategic vision and by rivalries among the partners and some allies," the report said. "Nonetheless, like the MD, the ICI is helping to build needed security relationships and to open channels for regular dialogue."



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