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John Metzler Archive
Friday, June 19, 2009

Overlooked geopolitical precedents in Georgia
and Kosovo

UNITED NATIONS — Geopolitical fault lines are rumbling from Georgia in the Caucuses to Kosovo in the Balkans. A surprise Russian veto in the Security Council effectively shutting down the UN monitoring mission in Georgia’s breakaway region of Abkhazia as well as continuing political uncertainty in the former Yugoslav province of Kosovo confront the world community with simmering disputes while attention is focused elsewhere.

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In Georgia’s case there’s a clear but consistent Russian probe of the “near abroad” in now independent but former satraps of the Soviet Union. The dust is yet to settle on last summer’s war between Georgia’s central government and Russian-backed breakaway regions; Abkhazia and South Ossetia. The Russians want foreign observers out — so they used their veto in the Security Council to shut down the fifteen year old monitoring mission. The Kremlin has also blocked an OSCE observer force in South Ossetia.

Realistically this means is that Georgia is on its own with fewer eyes to watch; it also shows a slow but certain reintegration into Moscow’s orbit of control. The Georgian Foreign Ministry warned unambiguously, “Russia’s veto will be conductive to increased instability and further human rights violations in the occupied Georgian regions, as well as the last international instrument to check uncontrolled Russian military presence in the occupied Georgian regions has been removed.”

The U.S. State Department who publicly supports Georgian sovereignty, may have been snookered by Moscow’s moves. The USA and European Union have scrambled for a last minute solution but were rebuffed by Russia who is reasserting its spheres of influence.

Kosovo presents another case. Facing entrenched ethnic hostility and discrimination from the ruling Yugoslav state, the Albanian Muslim majority bridled under Belgrade’s increasingly harsh rule. During the Milosevic regime the oppression triggered an uprising in 1999, with Serbian ethnic cleansing and forcible population transfers, and only ended with NATO military intervention. Though the UN mandate for Kosovo dates from 1999, the once powerful UNMIK mission has been significantly reduced and for all practical purposes has switched its duties and functions over to the European Union. Importantly NATO’s KFOR military force remains as a security bulwark for all ethnic communities.

In February 2008, Kosovo unilaterally declared its independence from Serbia. Vuk Jeremic, Serbia’s Foreign Minister, recently told the Security Council, “Serbia will never, under any circumstances, implicitly or explicitly, recognize the unilateral declaration of the ethnic-Albanian authorities of our southern province…..on this issue we shall not yield.”

Yet, Jeremic warned, “this has become a test case of global significance. Should it be allowed to stand, the door would open for challenging the territorial unity of any UN member state.” In this sense Security Council resolution 1244 from 1999 remains the legal bedrock of the multiethnic solution.

Serbia is the author of its own destruction, reaping the whirlwind of its brutal actions in Bosnia, Croatia and Kosovo. Even today, General Ratko Mladic, an indicted Serb war criminal remains on the lamb in Serbia, protected by elements of state security apparatus and probably up into the high echelons of the Belgrade government. Only last year Radavan Karadzic, living undercover in Serbia, was captured and taken to face trial at the Tribunal in the Hague.

While Kosovo’s independence has been recognized by sixty countries, including the USA, Britain, Canada, Turkey, and most of the European Union, significantly few states in South America, Africa and Asia have done so. Why? Countries like China, India, Indonesia, Russia (Serbia’s historic protector) and even Spain, all multinational states with nationalist rumblings, are decidedly nervous about the political precedent and all are haunted by the genie of separatism.

The People’s Republic of China confronts deep ethnic fault lines in Tibet and among its Muslim population in Sinkiang, and what Beijing claims to be a “separatist” Taiwan.

While seemingly small and distant places, both Georgia and Kosovo illustrate the a wider threat to the territorial integrity of so many states; usually not democratic, on whether separatist or independent minded regions can coexist with the central government.

Vice President Joe Biden recently toured the Balkans making an American recommitment to the region’s political freedom, sovereignty and economic well-being. Building on the Bush Administration’s political recognition of Kosovo and close ties to neighboring Albania, the Vice President said all the right things. Now however comes the real test for Washington to keep to its commitments throughout the Balkans despite the diplomatic distractions and to do the right things as well.


John J. Metzler is a U.N. correspondent covering diplomatic and defense issues. He writes weekly for WorldTribune.com.


Comments


EDITORS' NOTE: John Metzler replies that reader Agim Doda is "absolutely correct — two countries in South America now recognize Kosovo." The above column reflects the correction.

The Editors for John Metzler      2:17 p.m. / Saturday, June 20, 2009


You fail to mention that other violation of international law: the recommendations of the Badinter commission. By declaring Yugoslavia "dissolving" it gave the Western countries an excuse to ignore international law and Yugoslavia's constitution and recognize Slovenia and Croatia. If Yugoslavia had been dissolved by mutual consensus - as its constitution demanded and as happened in the Soviet Union and Czechoslaviakia - war would very probably have been avoided.

Wim Roffel      5:23 a.m. / Saturday, June 20, 2009


In his article “Overlooked geopolitical precedents in Georgia and Kosovo”, John J. Metzler states that no country of South America has recognized Kosovo. This statement is erroneous since two South American countries Peru and Colombia have recognized Kosovo. Furthermore Costa Rica, Belize and Panama, countries of Central America, have recognized Kosovo as well.

Agim Doda      4:30 p.m. / Friday, June 19, 2009


It's funny how you fail to mention the murder of Serbian police and soldiers prior to 1998,the continued harrassment of Serb civilians since the 1980's as mentioned by David Binder of the New York Times. I would love for you or anyone else to tell me which country has ever accepted the murder of its policemen and soldiers. If I am correct America just sentenced 3 Albanians to life in jail for "plotting" to kill soldiers at Ft Dix.

Dragan      4:30 p.m. / Friday, June 19, 2009

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