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Friday, November 14, 2008

Increased commerce, traffic diminishes tensions between Turkey, N. Iraq

WASHINGTON — Turkey and the Kurdish autonomous zone in northern Iraq have significantly improved relations to the point where a major Turkish ground invasion appears unlikely, a U.S. military report said.

The report for the U.S. Army said Ankara has developed strong economic ties with the Kurdish Regional Government in northern Iraq.

"Turkey and the semi-independent Kurdish north have developed enormously important and profitable mutual economic ties," the report, submitted to the West Point military academy, said.

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There are commercial, civil aviation flights into Irbil. U.S.-Turkish military cooperation has reduced tensions and the impetus for Turkish military ground intervention."

The report said the Iraqi Kurds were relaying crude oil to Turkey.

McCaffrey, a former Gulf War commander and adjunct professor at West Point, said KRG and Turkey were linked by a "huge amount of cross-border truck and rail traffic."

"The Kurds have a lot to lose from hostility with the Turks and have moderated their behavior toward their powerful northern neighbor," the report said.

The report, authored by [Ret.] Gen. Barry McCaffrey, marked a review of U.S. security efforts in Iraq and recommendations for 2009.

The report said the reduction of tension between the Kurds and Turkey mark an improvement throughout Iraq. McCaffrey said Iranian-sponsored Shi'ite militias have been neutralized, but the security situation could still worsen rapidly.

"The security situation is clearly still subject to sudden outrage at any moment by Al Qaida in Iraq or to degradation because of provocative behavior by the Maliki government," the report said. "However, the bottom line is a dramatic and growing momentum for economic and security stability which is unlikely to be reversible. I would not characterize the situation as fragile. It is just beyond the tipping point."



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