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Tuesday, April 1, 2008       Free Headline Alerts

Iraq needs 650,000 troops to fight off insurgencies

BAGHDAD — Iraq's security forces must grow to 650,000 by 2009, according to three studies.

Officials said three separate panels examined Iraqi security requirements. The studies by the Iraqi Defense Ministry, U.S.-led coalition, and an outside group agreed that the Iraq Army must grow to between 600,000 and 650,000 members by the end of 2008 to ensure effective counter-insurgency capabilities.

Officials said the growth of Iraq's military and security forces was a key requirement for the nation's emerging capability against insurgency movements, Middle East Newsline reported. They said the Defense Ministry has received three studies that called for the recruitment of up to another 100,000 troops in 2008.

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"So, all the divisions and brigades are standing up immediately," U.S. Air Force Col. Dean Clemons, military adviser to Iraqi Defense Minister Abdul Kader Al Obeidi, said. "Then, you're seeing the move to the training element, to the logistics side, [and to] the base support units."

In a March 5 briefing, Clemons said Iraqi security forces must mature before they could confront internal and external threats alone. He cited training, logistics, maintenance support and aviation capabilities.

Baghdad does not expect to be prepared to counter internal threats without coalition assistance before 2012. Officials said all of Iraq's government ministries agree that services must improve as part of a security campaign.

"I can tell you from personal experience that the pendulum has swung for a grander, more clear understanding of the needs and the requirement to [build capabilities]," Clemons said.

Iraq has also determined that it would need more than a decade to defend against external threats. Officials said Al Obeidi has assessed that Iraq would be able to defend against its neighbors between 2018 and 2020.

A key obstacle to independent military capability was the absence of an Iraqi air force. Clemons said such a force could take years until Baghdad acquires platforms for combat, intelligence and surveillance capabilities.

Officials said the Iraq Army, demonstrating logistical capabilities, succeeded in moving two brigades to Basra to battle Shi'ite insurgents.

"The Iraqis planned, coordinated it, and executed that move on their own," U.S. Army Col. Michael Fuller, Multinational Security Transition Command Iraq's chief of staff, said. "This is just an indicator that the Iraqis are beginning to be able to step up to the plate and execute operations on their own."

Fuller said the Basra operation demonstrated the improvement by the military, security forces and government ministries. He said the Defense Ministry and Interior Ministry were coordinating to ensure recruitment, training and equipping of military and police personnel.

"Logistics will be a big focus item for us this year," Fuller said.


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