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Monday, May 21, 2007

Bush administration gives up on a peace plan

WASHINGTON — The Bush administration has lost hope for a breakthrough leading to an Israeli-Palestinian peace accord over the next year.

Officials said the Hamas takeover of the Gaza Strip as well as an ineffective Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas make the prospect of any significant agreement with Israel virtually impossible. They said the lack of a peace accord would block the establishment of a formal Palestinian state in the West Bank. A de facto Palestinian state has been established in the Gaza Strip.

"I think what we're going to see over the next year or more is just putting out fires," an official said. "The idea is merely to keep the situation from exploding into a regional war."

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[Over the weekend, Palestinian gunners continued to launch surface-to-surface and anti-tank missile fire into Israel, Middle East Newsline reported. At least one Israeli soldier was injured on Saturday as Israel responded with air strikes against Hamas installations in the Gaza Strip.]

Officials said the administration does not intend to suspend the U.S. plan to establish a Palestinian state by 2009. They said such efforts were expected by Saudi Arabia and the European Union.

"The No. 1 item on the president's agenda is Iraq, and No. 2 is probably the Iranian nuclear threat," the official said. "This doesn't leave a whole lot of time left for anything else. But the situation could change rapidly and we are prepared for this."

On May 10, Deputy National Security Advisor Elliott Abrams told a private meeting of Jewish Republicans that the administration did not expect a breakthrough toward an Israeli-Palestinian peace accord. Abrams, in a meeting chaired by House Deputy Minority Whip Rep. Eric Cantor, said the U.S. diplomatic effort was meant to show its Arab and European allies that Washington was not abandoning the Palestinian issue.

"The gist of his comments was that what we are seeing is the State Department going through the motions," a participant in the meeting said.

In 2005, President George Bush appointed Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice to be responsible for U.S. relations with Israel and the PA. Ms. Rice monitors the region nearly daily and has been promoting a plan to facilitate Palestinian movement, bolster Abbas's security forces and end Palestinian missile strikes on Israel.

Ms. Rice's plan, drafted by U.S. security envoy Lt. Gen. Keith Dayton, has been criticized by pro-Israeli Republicans as unfeasible amid the Hamas takeover of the Gaza Strip. Early this month, the secretary canceled a May 15 trip to Israel and the PA to discuss the plan.

"The trip was canceled because in the end, Condi was convinced that neither Israel nor the PA would endorse the plan, and it would just be a waste of time," the official said.

Officials said Ms. Rice, who is close to the president and his family, wants to achieve a breakthrough in the Israeli-Palestinian arena before he leaves office in 2009. They said the secretary could intensify efforts in 2008 after the United States begins withdrawing troops from Iraq.

"We strongly urge the parties to work toward a two-state solution," Bush said on May 17. "I've instructed my secretary of state to be actively engaged."

Abrams consults with Ms. Rice on a weekly basis regarding the Israeli-Palestinian issue. He is responsible for U.S. relations with Israel and the PA in the National Security Council.

"It is inaccurate to suggest that the White House and State Department are at odds on this issue, for the entire administration — including Mr. Abrams — is committed to pursuing it and the rest of the president's agenda," the National Security Council said in a statement.

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