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Israel's multiple choice threat assessment: Air Force, Army differ on priorities

TEL AVIV - Israel's military is divided on priorities.

The Israel Air Force has deemed the Palestinian Authority, particularly the ruling Hamas movement, the key threat. The army, however, has shifted its prime focus from the Palestinians to Hizbullah and Syria.

"It's not a disagreement, rather each service is responding to its strengths and weaknesses," a military source said.

On Tuesday, Israel Air Force commander Maj. Gen. Eliezer Shkeidy listed Hamas as the priority of his service, Middle East Newsline reported. Following Hamas was Hizbullah, Syria, Iran and "global jihad," a reference to Al Qaida.

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"All of these issues are weighty and critical," Shkeidy told an air force conference.

[On late Tuesday, the Lebanese Army confiscated a truck laden with Hizbullah rockets and ammunition in Baalbek in eastern Lebanon. The truck was said to have contained 122 mm Grad rockets.]

The air force focus on Hamas was meant to improve the service's capability to halt enemy short-range missile and rocket strikes amid an Israeli government ban on a ground invasion of the Gaza Strip. The effort came in wake of the 34-day war in mid-2006, in which Hizbullah fired 4,500 Katyusha rockets into Israel.

In contrast, the army has shifted away from the Palestinian threat and was preparing to face Hizbullah and Syria in a war that could take place in 2007. Military sources said infantry units were being trained in such techniques as capturing Syrian villages along the Golan Heights as well as Hizbullah bunkers in southern Lebanon.

"We are ready for the possibility of deterioration in the Palestinian arena and, if necessary, in the north," Israel Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Gabi Ashkenazi said. "We are ready to apply the lessons learned from the last war."

On Tuesday, the army conducted a major infantry and armored exercise designed to prepare for any conflict with Syria. The sources said the exercise envisioned heavy fighting with Syrian commandos in the Golan Heights.

"For the army, this shift is a must, because it has proven its capability against the Palestinians, but not against Hizbullah and the Syrians," the source said. "The Syrian threat is the major impetus for the ground forces."

Still, Israeli military intelligence chief Maj. Gen. Amos Yadlin said Hamas was continuing to develop its missile and rocket capability. Yadlin told the Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee that Hamas could acquire 122 mm rockets with a range of 40 kilometers.

[On Wednesday, Palestinian gunners fired eight mortars into the Erez terminal along the northern Gaza border. The attack took place before a scheduled tour by Israeli Deputy Defense Minister Ephraim Sneh.]

At this point, Hamas operatives in the Gaza Strip have been producing Kassam-class missiles with a range of between nine and 13 kilometers, Yadlin said. He said Hamas has also procured the BM-21 Grad rocket, with a range of 20 kilometers. Only a handful of Grads have been fired by Hamas and the Iranian-sponsored Islamic Jihad.

"The army's next objective is to improve its readiness and fitness, while continuing to fight terror," Ashkenazi said. "The drill here displays very impressive abilities. There's only one thing missing -- an enemy."

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