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Report: 3 wars in Iraq has U.S. stymied, Al Qaida in control

SPECIAL TO WORLD TRIBUNE.COM
Wednesday, February 28, 2007

WASHINGTON — The U.S. military faces three wars in Iraq simultaneously according to a report which recommends a strategy of targeted U.S. strikes on Al Qaida death squads.

The Center for Naval Analyses said the U.S. military faces a sectarian war, Sunni insurgency and the threat of Al Qaida. In a report by analyst Henry Kenny, the center said the 140,000 American troops could not wage all three wars simultaneously.

But Kenny dismissed a troop build-up in Iraq, Middle East Newsline reported. Instead, the report, entitled "Strengthening an Embattled Nation: A strategy for contending with the three wars in Iraq," recommended a U.S. advisory mission to develop and mentor Iraqi security forces to fight the insurgency war.

"The option, rather, would focus U.S. combat power on AQI and death squads," the report said. "A better approach is to conduct ground or air precision strikes against specific AQI and death squad locations. This enables U.S. forces to concentrate resources against the most dangerous targets-those who, more than any others, stoke the fires of chaos and civil war."

"Iraqi forces have not developed rapidly enough, and U.S. forces simply do not have the numbers necessary to cover the wide swaths of territory needed to win the three wars in which they are now engaged," the report, released in December 2006, said.

[On Tuesday, National Intelligence Director John McConnell said the Iraq Army has fallen far short of requirements. Still, McConnell said Iraqi troops have taken lead responsibility in some areas, including parts of Baghdad.]

The report said any U.S. military option must account for each of the three wars in Iraq. The center said only a force of several hundred thousand American soldiers was capable of fighting three campaigns without Iraqi help.

The report said 1,300 foreigners have joined Al Qaida in Iraq. Kenny said that unlike previous assessments, the number of foreign operatives has risen steadily.

"Iraq began to attract these jihadists in the wake of the U.S. invasion, and their numbers have gradually increased over the years, despite the capture and killing of several top leaders," the report said.

The report said Al Qaida provides training, organization, and money for the Sunni insurgency. The movement has become a leading force through foreign funding and control of the vast smuggling network in Iraq.

"For example, AQI finds it easy to buy the loyalty of corrupt local leaders, and to pay disgruntled and impoverished young men to assemble, place, and detonate IEDs [improvised explosive devices]," the report said. "This threefold combination-training, organization, and money has facilitated AQI's operations to the point where it now control the insurgency in Ramadi, the center of the insurgency."

The report said Shi'ite forces have used U.S. equipment and training to attack Sunnis in Iraq. Kenny said the U.S. military has failed to reverse penetration of Iraqi security forces by Shi'ite militias.

"The civil strife, however, gives a strong impetus to AQI," the report said. "It prevents a projected U.S. withdrawal of some forces, thereby feeding anti-occupation sentiment and attracting additional Islamic extremists toward the cause celebré. Finally, it enables AQI to appeal for and receive additional financing from Muslims sympathetic to the Sunni Arab cause in Iraq."


Copyright © 2007 East West Services, Inc.

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