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Thursday, October 18, 2007      East-Asia-Intel.com

Report: Syrian site targeted by Israel could have produced plutonium bombs

WASHINGTON — The Syrian facility targeted by Israel last month appeared to be a nuclear reactor designed and built by North Korean technical advisors and eventually capable of producing one plutonium bomb per year.

The Institute for Science and International Security, a leading Washington-based think tank, has determined that Israel Air Force fighter-jets struck a Syrian nuclear facility in September 2007. ISIS based its findings on satellite imagery of northeastern Syria, and determined that the Syrian facility resembled that of a North Korean nuclear reactor.

"From the image, the Syrian building is similar in shape to the North Korean reactor building, but the Syrian building is not far enough along in its construction to make a definitive comparison," ISIS said in a report.

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The institute obtained commercial satellite imagery from DigitalGlobe of an area of eastern Syria along the Euphrates River. The imagery, taken on Aug. 7, showed a site believed to be the target of the Israeli air strike on Sept. 6. The apparent Israeli target, about 145 kilometers from the Iraqi border, was described as a building 47 meters high next to what appeared to be a pump station located along the river.

"A reactor requires a large volume of water for cooling and this pump station could serve that purpose," the report, which included satellite images, said. "The purpose of the secondary building in the image is unknown, but it does not appear to be a temporary structure. Trucks can be seen approximately 100 meters to the east of the tall building. This, along with evidence of heavy machinery tracks around this site, indicates recent construction activity."

The facility was located 3.5 kilometers from an air field, believed to serve North Korean technicians. ISIS said the suspected Syrian nuclear facility appeared incomplete.

"If the design of the reactor is similar to a North Korean reactor, it is likely a small gas-graphite reactor of the type North Korea built at the Yongbyon nuclear site north of Pyongyang," ISIS said in a report authored by David Albright and Paul Brannan. "The Syrian building size suggests that the reactor would be in the range of about 20-25 megawatts-thermal, large enough to make about one nuclear weapon's worth of plutonium each year."

"If Syria wanted to build nuclear weapons, it would need a specialized facility to chemically separate the plutonium from the irradiated fuel discharged from the reactor," the report, released on Wednesday, said. "It is unknown whether Syria has such a facility under construction or planned."

ISIS stressed that doubts remain over the identification of the Syrian facility. The report said it could not determine the state of the purported reactor or the extent of nuclear aid from North Korea.

"Which reactor components did Syria obtain from North Korea or elsewhere, and where are they now?" the report asked. "Is Syria able to produce any of the key reactor components itself? Could Syria have finished the reactor without on-going North Korean assistance? Did Syria plan to build a plutonium separation plant?"

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