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Israeli's campaign strategy: Total West Bank pullout

SPECIAL TO WORLD TRIBUNE.COM
Monday, March 6, 2006

JERUSALEM — Israel's government has decided to focus its reelection campaign on plans for a unilateral withdrawal from nearly the entire West Bank.

Acting Prime Minister Ehud Olmert has briefed the United States of his plan for an initial withdrawal from parts of the West Bank in 2007, Middle East Newsline reported. Under the plan, Olmert, if elected, would order the dismantling of at least 17 Jewish communities in the West Bank.

"It will be only a civilian disengagement, not a military disengagement," Avi Dichter, Olmert's aide and former head of Israeli domestic intelligence, said.

Under the plan, Israel's military would evict about 15,000 Jews from several parts of the West Bank. The areas would remain under nominal Israeli military control.

Officials said Olmert and Dichter have agreed on launching preparations for the eviction of Jewish settlers immediately after the March 28 elections. Olmert's ruling Kadima Party was envisioned by all major Israeli pollsters as being the clear victors in Knesset elections.

Dichter has been regarded as the likely defense minister in any government headed by Olmert. Olmert's office refused to respond Dichter's remarks.

Later, however, Olmert addressed via satellite the American-Israel Public Affairs Committee convention in Washington. Olmert said that in absence of a Palestinian partner Israel would seek to establish a contiguous Palestinian entity in the West Bank.

"We will take the initiative, as Prime Minister Sharon did, and we will aspire within the next few years to alternately decide on the permanent borders of the state Israel while separating from the Palestinians," Olmert said.

Under the plan, officials said, Olmert would demand international support for the isolation of any Hamas-led Palestinian Authority in exchange for an Israeli withdrawal from the West Bank. They said Israel would stage several withdrawals until 2009 when Israel forms two or three blocs of Jewish communities that would incorporate about 5-10 percent of the West Bank.

Olmert's adviser, Dov Weissglass, presented the outlines of the withdrawal plan to Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice over the last few weeks, officials said. They said Ms. Rice expressed interest in the Israeli concept but urged that Olmert not rule out a renewal of negotiations with the PA.

The government plan has been opposed by many in the military and intelligence agencies. Over the last month, the military's Central Command chief Maj. Gen. Yair Naveh called additional withdrawals "irrelevant" in wake of the Hamas victory in Palestinian Legislative Council elections on Jan. 25. Dichter's successor, Yuval Diskin, director of the Israel Security Agency, has also expressed opposition to any Israeli unilateral withdrawal.

Israeli analysts close to Olmert said the announcement of a unilateral withdrawal from the West Bank was meant to define the campaign for national elections. They said Olmert has been persuaded that turning the elections into a referendum for additional withdrawal would undermine the challenges by Likud chairman Binyamin Netanyahu and Labor leader Amir Peretz.

"This would be a referendum of both the previous disengagement as well as the future disengagement," Hanan Krystal, a leading Israeli political analyst, said.

Krystal said Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, felled by a massive stroke in January 2005, had intended to conduct additional unilateral withdrawals from the West Bank. Sharon, who has been in a coma for nearly two months, had pledged that he would not order additional pullouts.

In September 2005, Israel withdrew from the Gaza Strip and northern West Bank, expelling more than 16,000 Jewish residents and supporters. Israel transferred authority over the Gaza Strip to the PA while maintaining nominal control over the northern West Bank.

"Israel will have to define, by itself, its final borders, and that will involve the consolidation of smaller settlements into settlement blocs," Dichter said.


Copyright © 2006 East West Services, Inc.

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