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Report: Iran nukes would trigger regional proliferation

SPECIAL TO WORLD TRIBUNE.COM
Wednesday, February 23, 2005

WASHINGTON — A new report warns that the United States must halt Iran's nuclear weapons programs or face the prospect of a nuclear arms race in the Middle East.

The Presidential Study Group, sponsored by the Washington Institute, said in a report that Iran's nuclear weapons program marked the most difficult proliferation challenge in the Middle East and must be stopped.

"Iranian nuclear proliferation could constitute a 'tipping point' in the Middle East, with states from Saudi Arabia to Egypt and possibly Syria and Algeria likely to respond with efforts to acquire nuclear capability and threatening the nuclear nonproliferation regime," the report said.

On Tuesday, the Defense Department said it has not conducted unmanned aerial vehicle operations in Iran, Middle East Newsline reported. Both Iranian and U.S. officials have reported U.S. UAV overflights over suspected Iranian facilities.

The 53-member panel organized by the Washington Institute included two former secretaries of state (Alexander Haig and Madeleine Albright), a former CIA director (James Woolsey) and a former national security adviser (Sandy Berger). The report was entitled "Security, Reform, and Peace: The Three Pillars of U.S. Strategy in the Middle East."

"Stopping Iran short of achieving a nuclear weapons capability -- by diplomacy if possible; by other means, if necessary -- is a vital U.S. interest," the report said.

The panel said an Iranian atomic bomb would spark nuclear weapons programs throughout the Middle East. The report cited Algeria, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Syria.

The report recommended that the United States work with the European Union to halt Iran's nuclear weapons program. But the panel said U.S.-EU cooperation must not rule out the use of the military option against Teheran.

"Achieving international consensus on Iran should not, however, come at the cost of curtailing support to Iran's freedom-seeking opposition, nor should it require forswearing military options to address the problem," the panel said.

"I don't speak for the U.S. government, I speak for the Department of Defense, and the Department of Defense is not [conducting UAV operations in Iran]," Pentagon spokesman Lawrence Di Rita said. "And I would welcome you asking that same question for other agencies of the government that do those kinds of activities, and I think that they would give you the same answer. But it's not for me to speak for other agencies."

"The United States is facing an extraordinary moment of challenge in the Middle East, one that demands an integrated U.S. strategy built on a set of three pillars: security, reform, and peace," the report said. "The security agenda is the most pressing, but it alone is not sufficient. If the United States wants not just to combat the threats it faces in the region but also to change the regional dynamic which produces such threats, the administration should also pursue political, social, and economic reform in Middle East countries and the promotion of a secure Arab-Israeli peace."

The report said Iran marked the second U.S. priority in the Middle East for 2005. The most pressing issue was the acceleration of U.S. training and deployment of Iraq's military and security forces.

"Proliferation -- including the dangers posed both by terrorist groups and adversarial states -- is the most serious threat to U.S. national security," the report said. "Among Middle East states, Iran poses the most difficult and urgent challenge."


Copyright © 2005 East West Services, Inc.

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