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Rand: Only Israel, Russia willing to sell advanced tech to China

SPECIAL TO WORLD TRIBUNE.COM
Friday, May 27, 2005

A new report by the Rand Corp. said Israel was ready to supply advanced military technology withheld by NATO allies. The report said Israeli companies have been less constrained in their offers to China's military than their Western counterparts.

"Few, if any, foreign companies are willing to provide China with their most advanced 'core' technologies, although Russian and Israeli companies appear to be willing to provide China with some advanced military technologies that U.S. or French companies would not," the report, entitled "Modernizing China's Military Opportunities and Constraints," said.

The Rand report, released in May 2005 during a deterioration in U.S.-Israeli defense relations, was prepared for the U.S. Air Force, Middle East Newsline reported. The report cited Israel and Russia as the key suppliers of military technology to China.

For decades, Israel has supplied advanced military equipment to China, the report said. It said Beijing would continue to purchase weapons from Israel, particularly in areas beyond China's capability.

"Since the 1990s China has been following the third path — improving domestic production while purchasing growing numbers of advanced weapon systems from abroad, mostly from Russia and Israel," the report said.

The report said Israel helped China with the design and production of the J-10 multi-role aircraft. The J-10's design was "largely derived from Israel's canceled Lavi fighter program, which in turn was based on U.S. F-16 technology," Rand said.

Rand said Israel's importance as a supplier to China would decrease as Beijing acquires greater capabilities, particularly in aerospace. Israel has provided technology to China's combat jet program, but was said to be limited regarding future assistance.

"In the absence of an indigenous combat aircraft program, Israel is unlikely to be able to provide China with newer aviation technologies in areas other than subsystems such as avionics," the report said. "Further improvements in the capabilities of Chinese aircraft will increasingly depend on domestic R&D and improvements in domestic production capabilities, i.e., China's indigenous capacity for technological progress."

The report said Chinese arms sales dropped significantly in the 1990s in wake of Iraq's defeat in the Gulf war in 1991. Iraq's military contained numerous Chinese weapons, said to have performed poorly in the war against the United States. The report said many Chinese weapons produced over the last 25 years was based on 1950s Soviet technology.


Copyright © 2005 East West Services, Inc.

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