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'Chinese-led proliferation' sparked current nuke race

SPECIAL TO WORLD TRIBUNE.COM
Friday, December 20, 2002

A new report by the Jamestown Foundation charges that China has triggered a new nuclear arms race by using proxies to transfer missile and nuclear technology to rogue states in the Middle East.

The Washington-based foundation said Beijing has employed North Korea and Pakistan for the transfer of strategic weapons technology to countries on the U.S. list of terrorist sponsors.

Among the nations benefitting from these transfers are Iran, Libya and Syria, Middle East Newsline reported..

"This Chinese-led proliferation has kick-started a nuclear arms race involving India, Pakistan and North Korea. Japan, South Korea and Taiwan will soon join in, to be inevitably followed by Iran, Syria and others. China's direct and indirect assistance to North Korea is especially worrying, as Pyongyang is designing an intercontinental-range ballistic missile with a nuclear mission to target the United States."

The respected Jamestown Foundation features a tribute from Vice President Dick Cheney on its Internet page. Its Board of Advisors includes former CIA Director James Woolsey, former National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski, Sen. John McCain, Midge Dector, author Tom Clancey, and others.

"Beijing has made nuclear and missile transfers directly and indirectly through proxy states such as Pakistan and North Korea, disseminating through them to other nations including Syria, Iran and Libya," the report, authored by Thomas Woodrow, said.

The report, entitled "China Opens Pandora's Nuclear Box, asserted that Beijing has helped build North Korea's missile program. This included the reverse-engineering of a Scud missile purchased from Egypt in 1976. Pyongyang developed its own Scud B missile program in the mid-1980s with funding from Iran.

"These links with Tehran have continued to the present day," the report said. "North Korea also served as a conduit for Chinese transfers of Silkworm anti-ship missiles to Iran in the late 1980s to avoid U.S. censure of Beijing. One 1988 transfer reportedly included 80 Chinese Silkworms and 40 North Korean Scud-Bs as part of the same shipment."

The report said China and North Korea have joined forces in helping Iran's Shihab-3 intermediate-range missile program. Woodrow said North Korea is believed to have conducted flight tests in Iran for Pyongyang's own missile development. North Korea has maintained a moratorium on intermediate- and long-range missile tests since 1998.

"The Iranian Shihab-3 and Shihab-4 missiles are direct beneficiaries of North Korean and Chinese missile programs," the report said. "North Korea likely has used the Iranian missile tests for its own missile program development to circumvent Pyongyang's 'promise' not to conduct missile launches. The Shihab-3 is the No Dong; the planned Shihab-5 is the Taepo Dong-2."

The Shihab-5 is meant to have a range of 5,500 kilometers. Western intelligence officials said Iran has already obtained components, including the missile engine of the Taepo Dong-1, meant to have a range of 2,400 kilometers. The Taepo Dong-2 appears to resemble China's CSS-2 missile.

The report said Beijing has also transferred weapons of mass destruction technology to the Middle East through North Korea and Pakistan. Woodrow, a former senior China analyst at the Pentagon's Defense Intelligence Agency, said Saudi Arabia might be funding Pakistan's missile and nuclear programs and could eventually receive complete missile systems with nuclear warheads.

"The nuclear race is also spreading to Iran, Syria, Libya and Saudi Arabia," the report said. "Saudi Arabia may be funding much of Pakistan's missile and nuclear efforts and could become a nuclear power literally overnight through an airlift of missiles."

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