Gen. Zinni predicts Iran's imminent test of Shihab-3 missile
SPECIAL TO WORLD TRIBUNE.COM
Thursday, December 23, 1999
WASHINGTON -- Iran plans an imminent launch of its Shihab-3
intermediate-range ballistic missile, a senior U.S. military commander said.
Gen. Anthony Zinni, commander-in-chief of U.S. Central Command, said
Iran will test the Shihab very soon. He did not elaborate.
Zinni said Iran's missile program, which includes at least three version
of the Shihab, makes Teheran a long term threat to the United States and the
greatest challenge in the Persian Gulf region.
"I think [Iran] will have nuclear capability in a few years also," Zinni
told the Association of the United States Army in Washington.
Zinni's assertion was the first that reported a development in Iran's
Shihab-3 program. Earlier, Israeli and U.S. defense sources said development
of the Shihab-3, with a range of 1,300 kilometers, was mired in technical
difficulties and that deployment of the missile would not take place for
another two years.
This means that the Shihab-3 was at least three years behind the
schedule assessed by Western intelligence sources. They said Iran appears to
be having difficulty with the Shihab's engine and warhead.
The commander said the Shihab-3 will eventually carry a nonconventional
warhead. He said Iran has replaced Iraq as the greatest threat to the United
States in the Middle East and the Gulf, pointing to Iran's investments in
sea mines, submarines and relocatable missiles.
Zinni said international sanctions on Baghdad has restricted its weapons
development program. Iran, he said, has intensified efforts to develop
improved models of the Shihab-3. This includes the Shihab-4, with an
estimated range of at least 2,000 kilometers, capable of reaching southern
Europe.
"They have not disavowed the aims of the revolution, and they still have
an intelligence service that is up to no good," Zinni said.
At the Pentagon, Defense Department spokesman Ken Bacon agreed with
Zinni's assessment on the Iranian threat. "I think that right now, Iraq's
ability to develop new missiles has been very limited by the sanctions, and
probably by its, also, inability to sell large amounts -- larger amounts of oil than under the
oil-for-food program," he said. "So I think they've probably had less
resources to apply to this than Iran has recently, so it's not surprising
that the Iranian program would be operating a faster pace than the Iraqi
program."
Thursday, December 23, 1999
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