Inbari, a senior policy analyst at the Jerusalem Center, said the PA was
preparing for a renewal of hostilities with Israel around September,
when the UN considers a resolution for Palestinian statehood. One scenario
was that PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas resigns and the PA dissolves to pave the
way for an insurgency war.
"The Palestinians do not want to declare a state, but, rather, to leave
the conflict open," the report said. "What the Palestinians plan to do then
is not to exercise statehood but to declare themselves a 'state under
occupation' in order to legitimize the escalation of the struggle."
The report quoted Fatah leader Hatem Abdul Khader as saying that Abbas
was prepared to resign should Israel refuse to allow a Palestinian state in
the West Bank and Jerusalem in 2011. Abdul Khader said Abbas's replacement
would abolish all agreements with Israel and "lead the Palestinians back to
the struggle."
Inbari said the PA and the Palestine Liberation Organization have
refused to discuss Israeli proposals for land swaps, particularly the
Arab-populated areas of Israel's Triangle region. The report said the
Palestinians want the Arab minority to serve as an irredentist force against
Israel.
"The PLO, apparently, wants to leave the Palestinian-populated areas in
Israel as an anchor for pushing Israel back to the 1947 borders or even
further, as the territorial basis for exercising the right of return into
Israel," the report said.
The report said the PA plans to seek UN recognition of the 1947
partition of Palestine, which would enable the transfer of some seven
million Palestinians to Israel. Inbari said the Palestinians, with help from
supporters in Europe, would also organize an economic and legal campaign as
well as create strife between Israel and the United States.
"The Third Intifada is a joint project of all parties in the PA and the
diaspora: Hamas, radical leftists, Fatah, and even the PA government in
Ramallah," the report said. "The only difference appears to be that, whereas
the actors outside the framework of government responsibility are outspoken,
the governmental circles are more cautious. One cannot discern any sort of
dispute within the Palestinian political body, but, rather, a consensus."