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Friday, September 17, 2010     GET REAL

Report sees Israel reoccupying Gaza, 'substantial' parts of Lebanon in next war

WASHINGTON — Israel could destroy the Hamas regime and reoccupy the Gaza Strip in any forthcoming regional war, a report said.


The Washington Institute for Near East Policy asserted that Israel was preparing for a multi-front war that could result in the occupation of most or all of the Gaza Strip. The report, by former Defense Department official Jeffrey White, said Israel's military would seek to improve its performance over that of the war against Hamas in 2009.

"The IDF [Israel Defense Forces] would be occupying some, perhaps substantial, parts of Lebanon and potentially all of Gaza," the report, titled "If War Comes: Israel vs. Hizbullah and its Allies," said.

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The report envisioned Israel facing a coalition of such Iranian proxies as Hamas and Hizbullah as well as Syria. White said the war could erupt between Israel and Hizbullah but could soon include Hamas, estimated to have 5,000 missiles and rockets.

"At the same time, no one should be surprised if a new war in the north included a Gaza excursion," the report, released on Sept. 17, said. "Hamas could decide to enter the conflict in serious fashion, employing heavy rocket fire and long-range weapons. Alternatively, Israel could decide to finish the job begun with Operation Cast Lead in 2008–2009."

"Hamas — assuming it became involved directly — would lose its military power in Gaza and at least some of its political power," the report said.

The report said Israel's military strategy would employ massive air and naval power to destroy Hizbullah's missile and rocket network. White said Israel was expected to seek to deter Syria from joining the war.

"Any Syrian forces and infrastructure that supported Hizbullah would likely be targeted, and any Iranian elements supporting the group would be subject to attack as well," the report said. "Meanwhile, Israel would attempt to deter direct Iranian attacks on its territory via warnings and preparation of strategic strike assets, including air, missile, and naval forces."


If this contention proved accurate, then the world can look forward to a nuclear war involving not only the protagonist, Israel, but also Iran, Pakistan and Afghanistan amongst others. It would develop into a global war in which there would be no winners - only irradiated landscapes with decimated populations. Global economies would be trashed and there would be a post-nuclear desert in which there would no longer be any Jerusalem - never mind Mideast peace. Beware of allowing this conflict to escalate!

colindale, london      1:01 p.m. / Saturday, September 18, 2010

The report is probably correct.

Lt Col Howard      1:01 p.m. / Saturday, September 18, 2010

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