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Friday, June 12, 2009

Iraq's Maliki is bracing for an Al Qaida surge
as U.S. withdraws

BAGHDAD Ñ Iraq has concluded that Al Qaida would intensify operations as the U.S. military withdraws from cities throughout the country.   

Officials said the Baghdad government and military have assessed that Al Qaida would expand operations, particularly against Iraqi security forces and Shi'ites. They said AQI would seek to exploit the withdrawal of the U.S. military from cities, particularly Baghdad, Baqubah and Mosul.

"The attacks will be stronger," Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri Al Maliki said. "They will try to give the impression that Iraqi forces have failed in their duty with the withdrawal of multinational forces approaching."

In a June 11 address to his Cabinet and military command, Al Maliki said Al Qaida would also expand operations to Shi'ite provinces. He cited the bombing in the Shi'ite province of Dhi Qar, in which 32 people were killed on June 10. Dhi Qar has been deemed the quietest of Iraq's 18 provinces.


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"This is a political message that says attacking a market is an attempt to bring back sectarianism," Al Maliki said.

Officials said AQI carried out the car bombing in the market of Batha, a town in Dhi Qar. They said two Al Qaida operatives, based outside the province, have been arrested and linked to the car loaded with rockets and explosives.

The Iraq Army has also been bracing for an AQI resurgence in the Diyala province. Until 2009, Diyala was used as a launching pad for suicide bombings in Baghdad.

Amid the redeployment, the U.S. military has also been reducing its presence in detention camps around Iraq. The military plans to transfer three detention camps, filled with suspected AQI insurgents, to the Baghdad government by August 2010.

Officials said AQI as well as other insurgents were accumulating weapons in what could mark a power struggle in wake of the U.S. withdrawal from Iraqi cities on June 30. On June 9, the Defense Ministry said Iraq Army troops found 15 tons of weapons and explosives in a cache in southern Baghdad. This was believed to have been the largest cache ever found in Iraq.

The Al Maliki government has urged the United States not to accelerate its withdrawal in 2009 amid the AQI surge. Officials said the U.S. military must maintain efforts to train and modernize the Iraq Army and security forces.

"The outcome matters for us Iraqis, for the Americans and for the region," Iraqi ambassador to the United States, Samir Sumaidei, told the Washington-based Center for a New American Security. "It is not about the amount of attention; it is the quality of attention."



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