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Tuesday, August 18, 2009

What to do about Egypt: U.S. debates how to 'right-size' relationship

WASHINGTON Ñ The U.S. foreign policy community has been divided over relations with Egypt, a think tank reported.   

The Foreign Policy Research Institute said the relationship between Egypt and the United States has eroded, Middle East Newsline reported. In a report, leading U.S. researcher Steven Cook said the relationship between Cairo and Washington has been maintained solely by bureaucratic inertia.

"There is much debate in Washington now about what to do with Egypt," the report, titled "The U.S. and Egypt Since the Suez Crisis," said. "There is a sense that the relationship has run its course over the last 30 years. Its foundations are either weak or obsolete."

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Cook, a senior fellow for Middle Eastern studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, said U.S. attempts to change the regime of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak have failed. The report cited the attempt by the Bush administration to press Mubarak to introduce democratic reforms.

The Defense Department has opposed U.S. attempts to reform Egypt. The report said the Pentagon supports accepting Egypt as an authoritarian country that could be relied upon to help U.S. interests in the Middle East.

"Finally, the third stream of thought, an emerging one, is that we have to right-size this relationship, that times have changed, the U.S. has changed, Egypt has changed, and the region has changed, that we have no shared projects, that we need to step back from this relationship, and that Egypt should be treated like other important countries around the world," the report said. "But there is no compelling reason to have a strategic relationship with Egypt, or for Egypt to be the second largest recipient of our foreign aid."

"In fact, a healthy bit of distance between the U.S. and Egypt, by this thinking, may actually be better for both parties, as well as for the relationship," the report said.

The report said Egypt, which received $70 billion in U.S. aid since 1980, has been looking for a strategic alternative to Washington. At this point, Mubarak has not found a suitable replacement.

"For now, Egypt maintains that it has no alternative to the United States yet," the report said. "But they will likely continue to look for another strategic partner to provide them the largesse that at a minimum will help them to survive and muddle through their historic tribulations."




Comments


At the age of 80-81, one would naturally assume that, the question of succession is paramount on President Mubarak's mind. Therefore, President Mubarak would need the support as well as the endorsement of the Washington administration, for the candidacy of his son Gamal Mubarak. Whether this endorsement and support form Washington, will come with a heavy price-tag, remains to be seen, but Mr. Obama has to take into consideration the possibility that there may well be serious problems of succession when it comes to the other major Arab ally of the U.S, Saudi Arabia, especially when we consider that King Abdullah is in his mid-80s now. Name:

khairi janbek
janbekster@gmail.com
     6:46 a.m. / Wednesday, August 19, 2009

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