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    Monday, May 19, 2008

    Official: Europe would be spared in Iran's retaliation against U.S. strike

    ABU DHABI — Europe does not expect to become a target of Iranian retaliation in the event of a U.S. strike on Teheran's nuclear weapons program.

    A leading European defense official predicted Teheran would retaliate against the United States for any such strike.

    Ingmar Oldberg, deputy research director of the Swedish Defense Research Agency, said Europe would not join Washington in any campaign against Iran, Middle East Newsline reported.

    In his briefing, Oldberg presented a research project of the Swedish Defense Research Agency, also known as FOI, that envisioned the repercussions of any U.S. strike on Iran's nuclear program. The agency determined that the United States could weaken Iran with a surgical air attack.

    "Finally, whereas such an attack would probably stir anger among some extremists, the researchers do not expect a surge of terrorist attacks in the West," Oldberg told the Gulf Research Center in Dubai on April 30.

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    Mideast / S. Asia:

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    AFRICA/EUROPE:

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    Neither Israel nor Europe was expected to participate in the U.S. campaign, Oldberg said. In wake of such a strike, Iran was expected to undermine the U.S.-led counter-insurgency effort in Afghanistan and Iraq.

    "The researchers from the FOI also expect a unified European front opposing any European military intervention," Oldberg said.

    Oldberg said Russia has engaged in a "strategic partnership" with Iran while seeking to maintain excellent relations with the West. He said any U.S. strike would present Russia as a moderate.


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