The study urged Israel to discuss with the United States a joint
strategy toward Iran. Reut, established in 2004 to study national security
issues, raised the prospect that Washington might reach a deal that would
enable Iran to retain its nuclear capabilities, particularly uranium
enrichment.
"This would present Israel with a strategic surprise," the report said.
Israel has favored a military option against Iran and regards the
country as a strategic threat, the report said. In contrast, the United
States has set the military withdrawal from Iraq as a priority.
"The war in Iraq limits U.S. operational capability against Iran," the
report said. "The United States is exposed to a harsh Iranian response in
the Gulf and Iraq."
The study has been relayed to several government agencies and the
military. They included the Prime Minister's Office, Defense Ministry,
Foreign Ministry and National Security Council.
Reut asserted that Israel has assumed shared interests with the United
States regarding the need to stop Iran's nuclear program. The report
questioned this assumption as well as the Israeli assessment that Washington
has been sharing information on its negotiations with Iran.
The study determined that the United States appeared increasingly
unlikely to launch a military strike against Iran. Instead, Reut raised the
prospect of direct negotiations that would result in a U.S. agreement with
Iran.
"The United States seeks a grand bargain with Iran," the report said.
"Under this scenario, the United States will draft a deal that will preserve
Iran's uranium enrichment capability. Israel would likely be seen as
opposing the deal, and therefore be kept out of the process."