Israel-Palestinian conflict unwinnable, think tank concludes
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SPECIAL TO WORLD TRIBUNE.COM
Tuesday, July 31, 2001
WASHINGTON Ñ The Israeli-Palestinian war has reached a stalemate
that could last for years, a new U.S report says.
The report said the war between Israel and the Palestinian Authority is
unwinnable and presents a classic case of assymetric warfare. As a result,
the conflict can continue for years unless both sides return to the
negotiating table and the positions presented last year in the
U.S.-sponsored peace process.
"The 'peace process' is becoming a 'war process,' and the tragedy is
that the best both sides can hope for is to return to roughly the same
compromises proposed at Camp David or Taba," the report by the Center for
Strategic and International Studies said. "Neither side can really win
either a war or a peace, and there is a growing risk that they will become
locked into a conflict based on hatred and distrust that can grind on for
years."
The report was authored by Anthony Cordesman, a senior fellow at CSIS
and a former Pentagon official. Cordesman examines the causes of the new
round of conflict and the differing methods used by both sides.
Cordesman was said to have attended a conference last week sponsored by
a U.S. institute that brought together retired Israeli and Arab generals.
The participants at the parley held in Germany were said to have agreed that
negotiations should be renewed on the basis of the proposals by the Clinton
administration last year.
"The best outcome is one in which they grudgingly return to positions
similar to those raised at Camp David II, and reach compromises that still
remain unsatisfactory to both sides," the report said. "Such a peace is
nearly certain to be 'cold,' and based more on exhaustion and hatred than
hope and
trust. Such a peace will face the constant threat of violence from
extremists and terrorists on both sides."
The Israeli-Palestinian war, which began in September, has been
completely politicized in an effort to win international support, the report
said. The result is an escalation of the conflict.
"It is a reality of asymmetric warfare, however, that no form of killing
and collateral damage is clearly more moral or legitimate than another, and
that both sides are pushing the other toward a steady series of escalatory
actions," the report said.
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